Petty and the Jets

Tomorrow the Saints try to inch closer to a post season playoff berth versus Bryce Petty and the Jets. The previous week was a flurry of roster moves, fines and the retirement announcement of Reggie Bush. Bush drafted overall second by the Saints in 2006 and was a key contributor in the Super Bowl run of 2009 season. Another story that broke yesterday was the healthy scratch of Jets defensive lineman Muhammad Wilkerson, probably their best. Coach Payton was fined ten grand for improperly entering the field during the abomination known as the Falcon game. It seems all the Saints need to do is just show up right? The Jets get paid to play also and nothing in the NFL is automatic.

The boys in the desert have installed the Saints as 15.5 to 16 point favorites, a big number. The last time I remember a Jets team that big an underdog was Super bowl three against the mighty NFL Colts. The line was 18 and the upstart AFL New York Jets had no shot at victory. Well, a brash qb named Joe Namath “guaranteed” a victory and the New York Jets handled the Colts 16- 7. The Saints of 2017 have taken back the home done advantage and are 5 – 1 in the confines of the Mercedes Benz Superdome, including a 5 – 0 mark against the spread (ATS). New Orleans overall is 8 – 5 ATS this season while the Jets are a respectable 7 -5 -1 ATS. The Jets are only 1 -5 on the road straight up. New Orleans point differential this season is plus 107 at the same time New York is minus 45. The Saints are still in the top 10 in Passer Rating Differential, a sneaky accurate predictor of team success both in regular and post season. The Jets lost Josh McCown last week and throw Bryce Petty to the wolves Sunday at high noon. The Saints have to beat the teams they should beat and that includes an inferior Jets squad. If the black and gold take care of the ball they should win easily, 34 – 10 feels like the score from my point of view.